College Football Totals Strategy
How To Bet College Football Odds, Strategy And Betting Advice For 2021. What is the over / under in college football? Point totals in CFB are generally much higher than the NFL because of the increased pace of play and lack of even talent and coordination on the defensive side of the ball. Basic strategy teasers center around the fact that most football games – college or pro – are decided between 3 and 7 points. These account for 25% of all margins of victory. The closest to these two margins is 10 points, which accounts for around 6% of all final score lines.
The key numbers when referring to NCAAF spreads are common knowledge. We use it each and every week when we do our NCAAF handicapping.
For those of you that don’t know, the most frequent winning margins are 3 and 7. It’s why each is referred to as a key number. It’s also why there’s such a perceived value when you get a team at -2.5 or -6.5 when betting a favorite and +3.5 and +7.5 when betting the dog.
What I find interesting is that amateur bettors don’t use the same principals with totals. For the most part, if ‘John Doe’ sees two great offenses, he looks to bet the OVER regardless of the number.
Handicapping Most Common College Football Over/Under Lines
Below I’ve put together an in-depth table that looks at data for every NCAA football game dating back to 2000. I tallied how many times a game landed on a specific score (both teams combined). For example, if a game ended 24-14. That would be a final score of 38.
As it turns out, the most popular outcome is 55-points for a NCAA football game. It’s happened 3.32% of the time. Quite a bit higher than the NFL, but that should be no surprise. Defenses aren’t nearly as good in college, where offenses can get away with all these up-tempo spread attacks that feature dual threat QBs.
Knowing that more and more schools are transitioning to the spread attack, I wanted to check on the data for just the last 5 years. You have to think that with this huge movement, the average final score has to go up.
It turns out that 55 is still the magic number when you only look at the last 5 years. Note that dating back 2000 it was 3.32% and in the last five it’s up to 3.98%.
While 55 is still at the top, you can definitely see that scoring is rising. Just look at the difference in how often games are occurring. There’s clearly been a rise in games reaching 60+ points. For all the data 65 points happened just 2.22% of the time, but is at 2.63% over the last 5. Over a 12-year period (2000-2011) there 186 games that ended at 65. It’s happened 113 times in just the last 5 years.
Key Numbers for Betting NCAA Football Totals
Points ScoredGames% of All GamesGames (Last 5 Years)% of Games (Last 5 Years)554483.32%1713.98%514022.98%1162.70%454012.97%1142.65%593862.86%1012.35%483832.84%1242.89%523772.79%1202.79%413722.76%992.30%583702.74%1212.82%443652.70%1262.93%623172.35%1022.37%473002.22%791.84%652992.22%1132.63%372962.19%841.95%492742.03%841.95%382742.03%751.74%612631.95%932.16%662591.92%862.00%542591.92%701.63%692531.87%962.23%632311.71%741.72%342281.69%651.51%572261.67%751.74%432141.59%601.40%562051.52%801.86%402031.50%571.33%732021.50%631.47%311951.44%541.26%501941.44%581.35%301831.36%531.23%531821.35%551.28%421821.35%370.86%721791.33%671.56%331781.32%551.28%681721.27%551.28%761701.26%711.65%641701.26%561.30%271671.24%370.86%351591.18%511.19%771541.14%641.49%711511.12%531.23%461451.07%380.88%701441.07%491.14%751431.06%541.26%791421.05%551.28%601381.02%491.14%361300.96%280.65%671230.91%420.98%231190.88%240.56%801090.81%400.93%831070.79%380.88%241050.78%210.49%391030.76%260.60%291030.76%180.42%26860.64%170.40%87760.56%300.70%82760.56%350.81%74680.50%260.60%28680.50%140.33%85670.50%250.58%20660.49%140.33%32650.48%130.30%78640.47%310.72%84590.44%250.58%89540.40%240.56%86510.38%280.65%90470.35%140.33%91450.33%180.42%81450.33%170.40%93440.33%150.35%97400.30%240.56%22400.30%90.21%17400.30%100.23%21390.29%80.19%19370.27%90.21%16340.25%50.12%94250.19%120.28%25250.19%60.14%100240.18%160.37%92240.18%120.28%88240.18%90.21%13210.16%100.23%103190.14%110.26%101180.13%110.26%95180.13%100.23%99160.12%80.19%15160.12%50.12%98150.11%50.12%105140.10%40.09%96130.10%50.12%107120.09%70.16%12120.09%30.07%10120.09%40.09%102100.07%20.05%10890.07%50.12%990.07%20.05%10480.06%30.07%11170.05%30.07%1470.05%30.07%11760.04%20.05%10960.04%40.09%11550.04%30.07%11050.04%40.09%350.04%10.02%13340.03%30.07%12340.03%20.05%11440.03%20.05%10640.03%30.07%740.03%00.00%11930.02%20.05%11630.02%20.05%1830.02%00.00%13620.01%00.00%12520.01%10.02%11320.01%20.05%13710.01%10.02%13510.01%10.02%13410.01%00.00%13210.01%00.00%12910.01%00.00%12810.01%00.00%12710.01%00.00%12410.01%10.02%11810.01%10.02%11210.01%00.00%610.01%00.00%510.01%00.00%You’ll notice that the frequency isn’t too high for any number. That is why teasing CFB totals isn’t a great idea. We didn’t find any that were profitable and worth your time when doing our research.
Hopefully this information will help when you are betting NCAA football over unders. There is a lot that goes into beating the books, but making sure you get the best number is a big part of it. Once you start shopping around and getting value, you’ll have a better chance of putting money into your pocket.
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College Football Total Revenue
Follow on TwitterMost bookmakers offer 30 sports to bet with multiple options, bonus, and promotions, but there is a sport that is on the big list used by bettors in the world, some say that this sport is one of the reasons for the existence of bookmakers. We are talking about American football, the most popular sport in the United States. All bettors have used football to make money at least once on their betting life, that’s obvious, 99% sure they have done it.
Football apart from being a sport that loves and moves fans around the United States, it’s also very lucrative for people who invest in sports betting. No matter the venue or date, any football, college or professional game has great opportunities to make money. The bettors only need a good football betting strategy to start.
Contents
- 1 How to choose football games to bet?
- 3 College Football Betting System
How to choose football games to bet?
Football betting odds can be followed in any bookmaker, especially those that are ingrained with American sports. In American football betting options are multiple and extensive, but the best odds are in the simplest options: Straight Betting, Over / Under, Run lines.
The first thing a bettor has to do is to define the best betting option and what kind of football it will be since there are two American football options in the United States to make money: NFL football betting and NCAA college football betting. Both options are lucrative, but there is one that is tougher than the other. The first option is the most recommended for its professional level in the NFL, while the second option requires more precision when doing research For each game. Football lines and odds change daily from the day they are released to the public, it is necessary to follow up to avoid choosing an inflated or static line.
TOTALS as an alternative
Among the best alternatives to bet on American football are the options of TOTALS (over/under), this option is perfect for bettors who do not want to choose (big hassle) a winning team but prefer to do a research of how many points can be scored during a game. The tools to look for the information of the teams and their averages points per game are much easier to consult than other methods, besides the official reports from the NFL coming with a great added value on the football betting odds.
Run lines and Half Betting
At the beginning of each season, interesting football betting lines are offered for teams that start the season with home games, usually with very lucrative run lines (spreads), but these games are only “samples” and should not be taken seriously. The first two weeks of American football is just to “see” how is the team’s performance, the bettors do not need to make bets.
College Football Totals Strategy 2019
The run lines begin to be formally defined after the first 2-3 weeks of the season, as the weaknesses of the strong are separated. Once you discover the teams with the best football betting odds in run lines, it’s time to make the bets and wait for only the key games where the run line has a line that covers all the expectations.
Halftime bets are for totals, run lines, and straight football betting. It is possible to bet on any half during the game in question, both the first and second half, each half will have different odds based on the performance of the teams, obviously the first half will be more balanced in terms of odds.
College Football Approach
College football is a gold mine, but it can also become a trap. College football players often try to stand out in every game and ignore the strategies defined by their coaches to score points and they like to be the heroes of a game. All this makes college football volatile and very dangerous for the football betting newcomers.
In college football betting, research must be done very carefully, since the minimum error while calculating the numbers can cause a catastrophe in the bankroll. There are several methods and systems to bet on college football, but none is 100% accurate. The most appropriate thing is to carefully study each game to detail the strengths and weaknesses of the teams and watch college football betting lines move during the week.
Among the best options to bet on college football: Over / Under, Team Totals, Straight Betting, Runlines, Quarters betting.
College Football Betting System
Appart from your personal research, always invest some part of your betting bankroll in a good sports handicapping systems. Z code System, Sports Cash System and The Whale Picks System are among few reputed betting systems. These betting systems provide various tools, bankroll management along with college football picks for both NFL & NCAA games.
College Football Total Points
As in any other sport, taking bets are a fundamental part of its operation and any strategy can be advantageous no matter what type of system is used. The most important thing is to have enough information at hands such as percentages, statistics, reports, football betting tips, Videos and others to make the right decision.