Ufc 168 Odds
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The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is coming back to Australia mate! Home town boy Dan Hooker will take centre stage at the Spark Arena in Auckland, Australia. I smell a few dog’s barking in this event, let’s kick-start our week with some UFC underdog betting picks.
Callan Potter vs. Song Kenan
Saturday, February 22, 2020 – 05:35 PM EST
Opening line: Song Kenan -185 at Betonline
Callan Potter
- Age: 38
- Nationality: American
- Record: 18-8-0
- Height: 6ft”
- Reach: 72”
- Gym: Resilience Training Center
- Notable Gym Members: Dan Kelly, Jake Matthews & Jim Crute
- Current Streak: 1 win
- Wins by KO/TKO: 6
- Wins by Submission: 10
- Decision wins: 2
Significant Strikes (UFC)
- Landed Per Min: 3.21
- Accuracy: 51%
- Defence: 59%
Grappling (UFC)
- Takedown Average: 2.83
- Takedown Accuracy: 60%
- Takedown Defended: 100%
One of Australia’s finest submission experts Callan Potter won’t have far to travel for his scheduled bout this coming weekend. The home support should be rampant for the BJJ Black Belt but, the task at hand won’t be an easy one. Dangerous striker Kenan Song will be headhunting the experienced grappler from the get-go.
It’s not often the UFC will offer contract’s to fighters in their mid-30’s but, Callan and his impressive win rate became an acceptation. The 35-year-old hasn’t had the brightest beginning to his journey in the UFC but he’s shown the will to win via his strong grappling offense.
Song Kenan
Ufc 168 Odds Live
- Age: 29
- Nationality: China
- Record: 15-5-0
- Height: 6ft”
- Reach: 71.5”
- Gym: Tiger Muay Thai
- Notable Gym Members: Valentina Shevchenko, Petr Yan & Rustam Khabilov
- Current Streak: 1 win
- Wins by KO/TKO: 7
- Wins by Submission: 6
- Decision wins: 2
Significant Strikes (UFC)
- Landed Per Min: 4.13
- Accuracy: 45%
- Defence: 56%
Grappling (UFC)
- Takedown Average: 0
- Takedown Accuracy: 0%
- Takedown Defended: 50%
A long rangy striker in Song has fared quite well since his UFC debut, holding a 3-1 record, with his only loss coming to Alex Morono.
Song will clearly be the more proficient and experienced striker in this contest, he’ll be looking for a quick finish in his first fight overseas. The % finish rate for Song is high because of the speed he can deliver his striking offense.
At the end of the day
The current line seems slightly disrespectful in my honest opinion. Stylistically these fighters are opposite ends, Potter will understand that he needs to initiate his grappling game early and often in order to avoid the heavy hands of Song.
I believe the first round could be a competitive one but the longer this fast goes on, the more I favor Potter and his ability to lock in a submission. The game plan is quite clear and although Song can fight from his back, he hasn’t shown the greatest scrambling ability when up against half-decent grapplers.
Simply put, it’s a striker versus grappler matchup and I’ll favor the grappler, especially at these odds.
UFC Fight Night Auckland Prediction: Callan Potter to win at +165 with Bookmaker
Jimmy Crute vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
Saturday, February 22, 2020 – 09:05 PM EST
Opening line: Michal Oleksiejczuk -140 at 5Dimes
Jimmy Crute
- Age: 28
- Nationality: Australia
- Record: 10-1-0
- Height: 6ft 2”
- Reach: 74”
- Current Streak: 1 loss
- Gym: Resilience Training Centre
- Notable Gym Members: Dan Kelly, Jake Matthews & Callan Potter
- Wins by KO/TKO: 4
- Wins by Submission: 3
- Decision wins: 3
Significant Strikes (UFC)
- Landed Per Min: 4.56
- Accuracy: 57%
- Defence: 53%
Grappling (UFC)
- Takedown Average: 0.58
- Takedown Accuracy: 100%
- Takedown Defended: 60%
Jimmy Crute, one of the UFC’s brightest prospects makes his return to the octagon this weekend after suffering his first professional loss. His opponent is another prospect coming off his first loss in the UFC. Co-Main event status certainly deserves for this bout, Crute has looked incredible, even in his previous and first-ever loss. Crute has power, agility and a BJJ Black belt to go with it. Fast in development, Crute’s striking is evolving fight to fight in order to match up with his high-level jiu-jitsu offense.
Michal Oleksiejczuk
- Age: 25
- Nationality: Poland
- Record: 14-3-0
- Height: 6ft”
- Reach: 74”
- Gym: GKS Gornik Leczna MMA
- Notable Gym Members: N/A
- Current Streak: 1 loss
- Wins by KO/TKO: 9
- Wins by Submission: 1
- Decision wins: 4
Ufc 168 Odds 2019
Significant Strikes (UFC)
- Landed Per Min: 5.39
- Accuracy: 56%
- Defence: 68%
Grappling (UFC)
- Takedown Average: 1.20
- Takedown Accuracy: 66%
- Takedown Defended: 75%
Much like his opponent, Michal has shown amazing prospect talent with a barrage of offence in his UFC scheduled bouts to date.
Michal has an aggressive start to his fights that most opponents can’t handle, most recently we saw Ovince Saint Preux become one of the first to avoid the early onslaught that Michal provides. His approach doesn’t tend to change matchup to matchup, so we should expect the same aggressive beginnings from Michal this weekend.
Ufc 168 Odds Vegas
At the end of the day
Another suggested line that I don’t agree with; an even matchup favouring one over the other. Michal holds one attribute higher than Crute, aggression. I give Michal one round to get his fight over with or he’ll enter the deep waters and drown.
So, with one path to victory for Michal but multiple paths for Crute, It’s easy making a decision whilst looking deeper into this matchup. If Michal surprises us with a calm approach to his first-round offence he’s going to lose a technical striking battle and we have to favour Crute when comparing each fighters grappling skill-set.
Crute can avoid the dangerous first round in a similar fashion to OSP, his cardio and higher-level fight IQ should do the rest.
UFC 168 Prediction: Jimmy Crute to win at +120 with BetOnline