If you are someone who is struggling to pick winners on a consistent basis and keep finding yourself with an empty bankroll, it’s likely due to a lack of quality information.

We provide free NFL picks, live betting odds, advice and tips on betting football games including game day matchups that provide you with the best football handicapping tools to increase your bankroll. Round betting, general odds and football tips are all the rage, especially with the restart of the Premier League and the massive feast of boxing on show this month. But a handy form of wagering that has slipped into the shadows is handicap betting.

That’s why I created the ultimate NFL handicapping guide to help you cash more winning tickets. I’m confident that if you start using the information made available on this page, your profits will increase drastically.

Expert Advice on How to Handicap & Profit on Pro Football Odds

There’s so much that goes into successfully picking winners. You need to have your own or a reliable source of power ratings: a full understanding of the odds, the power of home field advantage, the impact of injuries, weather, motivation, scheduling, and rest.

Gaining an Edge Over the Average BettorMost amateur bettors simply make their picks based on what they saw the previous week or recently heard on TV or the radio. Oddsmakers are well aware of how the rookie handicappers pick their games and use the public perception to their advantage.

You also need quality resources for breaking down matchups, knowledge on how to use trends and systems and the tools to take advantage of future odds, teasers, parlays, props and in-game wagers.

NFL Handicapping Resources – Ultimate List of Betting Tips & Secrets

Chapter 1: Generating Your Own Spread Using Power Ratings

Almost every professional handicapper has their own power rating system in some shape or form to help them make more accurate picks. Power rating systems allow you create your own spread for a game before the oddsmakers ever release their number and easily spot when a team is being undervalued or overvalued. Below are several links to some of the most trusted power rating systems available to the public.

Chapter 2: Using the Odds to Your Advantage

How many times have you wagered on a game that you thought the books made a big mistake setting the line, only to watch the other side cover? If you want to be a successful NFL handicapper, you need to have a complete understanding of the odds and how to read into the lines the oddsmakers set. This is especially true in the NFL, where key numbers are critical for long-term success.

Chapter 3: Power of Home Field Advantage

One of the biggest mistakes that I see with amateur bettors is they don’t factor in home field advantage, which has them consistently giving their money away on inflated road favorites. What people don’t realize, is home field advantage is not just a team’s win/loss record at home, but how much better they are at home compared to on the road. You also have to factor in the magnitude of the game and the opponent they are playing.

Chapter 4: Understanding Impact of Injuries & Weather

It’s no secret that injuries and weather play a critical role in a team’s success over the course of a season and greatly impact their chances of winning on a given week. However, rarely do amateur bettors take advantage of these golden opportunities that come up. Everyone is aware of the key injuries to quarterbacks, wide receivers, and running backs, as these are the ones you hear about on TV. While these are important, the books adjust their lines accordingly for these injuries because of the public action that will come in. It’s the offensive linemen and defensive players that routinely get overlooked. As for the weather, how many times do you check the forecast before placing a bet?

Chapter 5: How to Handicap Motivational Factors

Some will argue that motivation is everything in sports. Being able to spot which teams are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder is critical to picking winners in the NFL. What a lot of people don’t realize is that motivation comes in many different forms, whether it be revenge, negative media publicity, failure, etc. You also have to look for teams that will lack motivation, especially late in the year when you have a number of teams who are eliminated from playoff contention.

Chapter 6: Using Matchup Information & Analysis

This is one of the more obvious aspects of NFL Handicapping. Anyone who is betting on sports to make a profit does some form research before making a wager. There is abundant information made available on the internet to help you break down a specific matchup. Here’s a collection of my top resources for the NFL.

Chapter 7: Importance of Looking at Schedule & Rest

Scheduling and rest are two of most important things to look at when handicapping the NFL. It might not seem like much for a team to get a few extra days of preparation after playing in a Thursday night game or one less day after playing on Monday Night Football, but it’s huge advantage/disadvantage for NFL teams. You also have to make sure you are aware of teams having to travel to different time zones, especially with east coast teams traveling to the west coast and vice versa.

Chapter 8: Using Trends & Systems to Increase Profits

Some of you might be skeptical and I understand why. It’s hard to put your trust into a trend or system. These are all based off what has happened in the past. I for one think there’s a ton of great value in using trends and systems when making NFL picks. The key is figuring out which trends/systems are worth paying attention to and which ones are useless and need to be avoided.

Chapter 9: Tools for Betting Future Odds, Teasers, Parlays, Props & In-Game Wagers

As the sports betting industry continues to grow, so does the number of different types of wagers that you can make. It’s not just about who will cover the spread or whether the game will go over or under the posted total. There’s enormous value out there that professionals are taking advantage of. Don’t you want in on the action?

• Best Teaser Odds (Updated each week of the season)

Before we get into detail about handicapping football, we’d like to
start by making two important points.

• Handicapping is not as complicated as might think.
• Handicapping takes time and effort.

There are two common misconceptions about handicapping.
One is that you have to be some kind of genius to do it, and this
is completely false. That’s why we’ve made the first point above.
Many people don’t even both learning how to handicap football, for the sole reason that they think it’s too
complicated

The other misconception is that handicapping is just about following some kind of set formula or system that
basically tells you what to bet on. This is not the case at all. While you can develop specific formulas or
systems to help with your decision making process, there is more to handicapping than just that. It doesn’t
have to be difficult, as we’ve just explained, but it does take time and effort. There is a lot to assess and
analyze if you are going to handicap football games effectively.

In this article provide the information and advice that can help you become a successful football handicapper.
We start by explaining exactly what sports handicapping is, and then look at how it can help you when
betting on football. We then provide some tips and advice for how to go about developing your own
handicapping techniques.

What is Sports Handicapping?

It’s difficult to provide a precise definition of sports handicapping. It’s not about doing any one single thing, or
following a specific set of rules. Handicapping is essentially a combination of processes and techniques that
can help you to make better decisions when betting on sports.The basic idea is to consider all the factors
that can affect the outcome of a sports event, and then determine exactly what effect each one might have.
Doing this gives should give a clearer picture of what to bet on.

There isn’t really a “right” way to handicap sports. There are some general principles you should adhere to
but you ultimately need to develop your own methods. It’s part science, and part art form. Some of the
processes and techniques are purely mathematical, while others are subjective and opinion based.

We cover some of the mathematical techniques, that apply to all forms of sport, in our article on the basics
of handicapping the market. Reading this article will give you a solid grasp of the more fundamental
aspects of handicapping.

The subjective aspects of handicapping are the hardest to master. There are many books and websites that
contain information on certain methods you can use to handicap sports, but the problem with using methods
developed by other people is that they might not work for you. You ultimately need to develop your own
methods, as that’s the only way to be truly successful. In any case, you can be almost certain that the most
effective handicapping methods are not published anywhere.

That’s why this article is focused on teaching you all the things you need to consider rather than just giving
you a fixed guide to follow. Actually learning how to handicap properly for yourself, and not just relying on
doing what others to tell you what to do, will be far more beneficial in the long run.

How Does Handicapping Help?

As we’ve already mentioned, handicapping can help you to decide what to bet on. That’s pretty much its sole
purpose, in fact. The only real aim when betting is to make good decisions, and if you can consistently do
that then you will almost certainly make money in the long run.

Making a good betting decision is not quite as simple as predicting what’s going to happen though. Obviously
you need to make accurate predictions if you’re going to be successful, but there’s more to it than that. You
need to think about how likely a possible outcome is, and then compare that likelihood to the implied
probability of the relevant odds. This is how you identify value, which is arguably the most important part of
sports betting.

If you’re not familiar with the concept of value, please read our article explaining the roles of probability
and value in sports betting.

You should understand that when bookmakers set the odds and lines for a football game, or any sports event,
they are effectively creating a market. Your goal is to find out where the value lies in that market. To explain
this further, let’s use an example. We’re looking at an upcoming game where the Kansas City Chiefs are
playing at the New England Patriots. The odds are as follows.

The Patriots are the favorite here, and our initial instinctive view is that they’re going to cover the spread.
Now, the average recreational bettor would think no further than this. Having taken a view, they’ll simply back
that view by placing the relevant wager. So, assuming they had the same view as you, they’d place a wager
on the Patriots to cover.

They may well prove to be right, and they’d take their payout and be happy that they won. There’s nothing
wrong with this at all, but it’s not an approach that will be successful in the long run. They haven’t given any
consideration to whether their wager had any value at all.

If you were handicapping this game properly, then taking the view that the Patriots are going to cover would
only be the first step. The next step would be to work out how likely they are to cover. There are numerous
ways you could do this, but let’s say that you’ve developed a relatively simple handicapping technique based
on yards per point. This works by giving each team a rating based on their yards per point statistics, which
you calculate as follows.

Step #1

Calculate a team’s offensive points per yard by dividing their offensive yards gained by the
number of points scored.

Step #2

Calculate a team’s defensive points per yard by dividing their yards given up by the number of
points conceded.

Step #3

Subtract defensive points per yard from offensive points per yard for a rating.

Your technique involves then calculating the difference between the ratings of two teams. In this case the
rating for the Patriots is +2.3, and for the Chiefs it’s -0.7. So the difference is +3 in favor of the Patriots.

Let’s assume that you’ve carried out research that shows that teams with a +3 advantage or greater in this
rating win by three points or more 65% of the time. So there’s a (theoretical) 65% chance that a wager on the
Patriots will win or push, and the implied probability of the odds is 52.38%. When the chances of a wager
winning is greater than the implied probability of the odds, value exists. So in this case backing the Patriots to
cover would be the right thing to do.

Please note that the data used in the above example is hypothetical. It’s purely to illustrate how handicapping
techniques to make good betting decisions and spot where the value is. Now that we’ve explained that, it’s
time to look at exactly how you can develop your own football handicapping techniques.

What is Sports Handicapping?

Football Handicap Betting Odds Ncaa Basketball

If you’re going to have any chance of becoming a successful football handicapper, you have to know your
stuff. You can’t expect to accurately assess what’s going to happen to in games, or over the course of the
season, if you don’t fundamentally understand the game. So here’s some initial tips that you really should
follow.

1. Watch as many games as you can
2. Read games reports
3. Learn about the teams, players and coaches

If you’re a major football fan then then you probably already do the first two things on this list, and you’re
probably already familiar with many of the teams, player and coaches too. If you’re not, though, then you
should to get into the habit of watching games and reading match reports as soon as you can. This will give
you real insight into the sport and its participants, and that insight will prove invaluable when trying to
handicap games.

This is an ongoing process too. A lot of things change every season, you so need to stay up to date. This is
one reason why we recommend learning how to use the off-season effectively when betting on the NFL. You
want to be aware of roster changes and coaching changes, and you want to start analyzing the potential
effects of them as early as possible. A new star quarterback, for example, could make a team much stronger
for the upcoming season. A new coach may mean an entirely new playing style, which may make a team
more effective against certain opposition but less effective against others.

Asian Handicap Betting

You also need to understand the various factors that can affect the outcome of football games, and the
important team and player statistics that can be used in handicapping. Here are just a few examples of these,
in no particular order.

• Motivation
• Schedules
• Injuries
• Weather
• Current Form
• Home Advantage
• Yards per attempt
• Passing yards
• Rushing yards
• Yards per carry
• Sacks per game
• Turnover differential

Football Handicap

For a more detailed look at all of these, and more, you should read our article on the factors and stats to
consider when handicapping football. It’s only with a real understanding of them that you’ll be able to develop
and use your own handicapping techniques effectively.

Once you have that understanding, the work really begins. We mentioned earlier that our goal is to teach
you how to handicap for yourself, rather than just tell you what to do, and we should now explain further
why this. It’s not because we don’t want to give you the best chance of making money, as that’s precisely
what we ARE trying to do. We could simply share the techniques that are working for us currently, but there’s
a major problem with doing that.

It’s really hard to find value in football betting markets, because the bookmakers are very good at what they
do. Take the example we gave earlier of using yards per point stats to handicap point spreads. If such a
simple system was able to consistently beat the bookmakers, they’d soon work it out for themselves. Then
the lines they set would take that into account, so the technique probably wouldn’t be useful anymore. You’d
have to look at other factors and stats too, and use yards per point in conjunction with them.

Handicap Betting Meaning

The only way to consistently make money from handicapping is to consistently stay one step ahead of the
bookmakers. That’s incredibly tough to do, and there’s certainly so no easy step by step guide we can give
you for doing it. It absolutely can be done, but you HAVE to put in a lot of effort. You need to do a lot of
research and analysis, look for trends and patterns, come up with theories, and then put those theories to
the test. And, when you find something that works, keeping fine-tuning it.

Football Handicap Betting Odds Genesis Open

That’s really what successful football handicapping comes down to. There’s no magic system that’s going to
tell you what to bet on each week. It’s about working hard enough so that you have the ability to spot when
there is value in market, based on your own analysis and assessments. If you’re patient and committed, then
you will find that value.